WTI, Brent, Saudi pipeline attack, Middle East war

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures for May delivery gained 2.2% to $100.04 per barrel at around 5:25 a.m. ET, while international benchmark Brent crude futures for June delivery were up 1.7% at $97.59 per barrel.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday warned Iran to “stop now” if it was charging tankers to transit the strait, a move that risks undermining a two-week ceasefire agreement that was contingent on reopening the waterway.

Shipping flows through the chokepoint, which handled about 20% of global oil supply before the war, remained severely restricted, keeping markets on edge.

“Iran is doing a very poor job, dishonorable some would say, of allowing Oil to go through the Strait of Hormuz,” Trump said in a Truth Social post.

Trump’s top economic advisor Kevin Hassett said Thursday that getting even one oil tanker across the strait would provide a “huge chunk of what’s missing.”

Adrian Beciri, CEO of DUCAT Maritime, a Cyprus-based logistics firm specializing in dry bulk, said the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed and the behavioural attitudes of shipowners and operators are “exactly the same today” as they had been at the peak of the conflict.

“Quite frankly speaking, the situation is extremely chaotic. There is no known or established way to transit the Straits of Hormuz. There is even not a clear way to contact the Iranians on how to do it, which seems to be the only way at the moment,” Beciri told CNBC’s “Europe Early Edition” on Friday.

“The few vessels that have are following different routes then they have historically. They are following a route closer to the coastline of Iran and the sums of money I’m hearing from shipowners off the record are quite frankly ridiculous,” he added.

Additionally, attacks on Saudi Arabia’s energy infrastructure has impacted its oil production capacity.

The strikes have cut oil output capacity by around 600,000 barrels a day and trimmed flows through the East-West Pipeline by roughly 700,000 bpd, according to the Saudi Press Agency, citing a Ministry of Energy source.

Iranian strikes hit a pumping station along the East-West pipeline, according to a report from the state news agency. The pipeline transports crude from processing facilities near the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea export terminal at Yanbu.

Riyadh has leaned heavily on the pipeline as its primary export route during the conflict, as Iranian attacks have made shipments through the Strait of Hormuz increasingly unviable.  

Meanwhile, separate attacks on Saudi Arabia’s Manifa and Khurais oil fields have cut the kingdom’s production by roughly 600,000 barrels per day, the Saudi Press Agency said. Several refineries have also been targeted in recent strikes, further compounding supply disruptions.

The U.S. reached a two-week ceasefire agreement with Iran on Tuesday in return for Tehran allowing vessels to transit the strait. The chief executive of the United Arab Emirates’ state oil firm said Thursday that the waterway remains largely shut to shipping.

With Gulf imports dropping below 2 million barrels per day and voyage times stretching several weeks, Goldman’s analysts said buyers may need to rely on stockpiles and alternative supply for at least another month, even as higher fuel prices begin to weigh on demand.

— CNBC’s Justina Lee and Spencer Kimball contributed to this report.